Dublin-based Intrade is making a market in the prospects for a upcoming recession. Shares are currently available at $46.40, which indicates an overall guess that there is a 46.4 percent chance the economy is likely to be in a recession over the next year, significantly higher than the predictions of many market watchers. 1,296 shares have traded so far which, while not exactly huge, may be beginning to approach some kind of statistical usefulness. (Hillary-as-nominee shares, by the way, are trading at $64.)
March 1 update: Recession shares up to $60. Hillary down to $13.